Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000548 0.000628 0.000713 0.000809 0.000916 0.001031 0.001162
2025-07-27 0.000420 0.000529 0.000653 0.000805 0.000982 0.001184 0.001428
2025-08-03 0.000347 0.000467 0.000610 0.000792 0.001014 0.001275 0.001602
2025-08-10 0.000302 0.000430 0.000590 0.000800 0.001067 0.001390 0.001805
2025-08-17 0.000263 0.000395 0.000566 0.000800 0.001104 0.001482 0.001979
2025-08-24 0.000223 0.000353 0.000528 0.000775 0.001107 0.001528 0.002094
2025-08-31 0.000190 0.000317 0.000495 0.000753 0.001108 0.001570 0.002203
2025-09-07 0.000169 0.000295 0.000478 0.000750 0.001134 0.001643 0.002352
2025-09-14 0.000151 0.000276 0.000463 0.000749 0.001161 0.001717 0.002503
2025-09-21 0.000133 0.000255 0.000444 0.000740 0.001175 0.001771 0.002629
2025-09-28 0.000116 0.000235 0.000422 0.000725 0.001179 0.001813 0.002737
2025-10-05 0.000109 0.000229 0.000423 0.000743 0.001232 0.001922 0.002940
2025-10-12 0.000101 0.000220 0.000420 0.000755 0.001275 0.002020 0.003132
2025-10-19 0.000090 0.000205 0.000405 0.000748 0.001291 0.002080 0.003272
2025-10-26 0.000079 0.000190 0.000388 0.000737 0.001298 0.002125 0.003391
2025-11-02 0.000073 0.000183 0.000384 0.000745 0.001335 0.002216 0.003577
2025-11-09 0.000066 0.000173 0.000375 0.000744 0.001358 0.002287 0.003734
2025-11-16 0.000057 0.000157 0.000353 0.000721 0.001344 0.002299 0.003807
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000143 0.000334 0.000700 0.001332 0.002314 0.003882
2025-11-30 0.000044 0.000136 0.000325 0.000697 0.001349 0.002375 0.004026
2025-12-07 0.000040 0.000129 0.000318 0.000696 0.001369 0.002439 0.004178
2025-12-14 0.000036 0.000120 0.000307 0.000687 0.001375 0.002481 0.004296
2025-12-21 0.000031 0.000111 0.000293 0.000673 0.001371 0.002508 0.004390